Mohawk Industries Reports Q3 Results And Announces $500 Million Stock Repurchase Plan

- For the nine months ending September 29, 2018, net earnings and EPS were $632 million and $8.42, respectively. Net earnings excluding restructuring, acquisition and other charges were $735 million and EPS was $9.80, a 4% decrease from the 2017 nine-month period adjusted EPS. For the 2018 nine-month period, net sales were $7.5 billion, an increase of 6% versus prior year as reported or 2% on a constant currency and legacy basis. For the nine-month period ending September 30, 2017, net sales were $7.1 billion, net earnings were $731 million and EPS was $9.77; excluding restructuring, acquisition and other charges, net earnings and EPS were $763 million and $10.19. Commenting on Mohawk Industries' third quarter performance, Jeffrey S. Lorberbaum, Chairman and CEO, stated, "Our third quarter results fell short of our expectations. Sales growth in all segments was lower than our estimates, price increases had less impact and we experienced more inflation than predicted. Transportation costs continued to rise due to the limited availability of common carriers and higher fuel prices. Additional manufacturing reductions were required during the period to control our inventory levels. Our LVT sales were up significantly but were still constrained by internal production. Our margins were further impacted by a decline in product mix from customers trading down, import competition due to the strengthening U.S. dollar and higher volumes in channels that use lower value products. Most of our markets have experienced weakening demand, inflation and pricing pressures. In the period, the acquisition of Godfrey Hirst added revenues of approximately $70 million, even as the Australian market slowed due to higher mortgage rates, lending restrictions and reduced exports to China. For the period, start-up costs related to new capital projects were $20 million, in line with our plan. "In the U.S., we continue to execute additional pricing actions across most product categories to offset ongoing inflationary pressures. Our LVT sales are expanding from greater internal production and sourcing programs. We announced price increases on products that we import from China to pass through the new tariffs and other inflation. We are increasing our internal trucking to enhance service to our customers and control costs. In our regions outside the U.S., most are experiencing softer demand and increased inflation and currency pressure. We are increasing prices as conditions permit, introducing innovative products, expanding our distribution and reducing costs. We have many investments in new products and geographies in various stages of completion that have a combined sales potential of $1.2 billion, which should contribute margins similar to our existing businesses when optimized. The projects already starting up are rigid LVT and premium laminate in the U.S., ceramic tile in Mexico, and rigid LVT, carpet tile, porcelain slabs, technical tile and premium laminate in Europe. Other projects under construction include quartz countertops in the U.S., porcelain tile in Poland, and sheet vinyl and premium laminate in Russia. We are confident about Mohawk's position in the global market, and our Board of Directors has approved a new plan to repurchase $500 million of our company's stock. While we continue to see opportunities for investments and M&A, we believe our shares represent an attractive opportunity. "For the quarter, our Global Ceramic Segment sales decreased 1% as reported and increased 1% on a constant currency basis. Operating margin was approximately 13%, declining year over year due to inflation, pricing pressures and lower growth in most of our markets. Our U.S. ceramic volume expanded, while margins were pressured by price, mix and higher transportation costs. Increased competition from imports due to a stronger dollar and the growth of LVT continued to impact the U.S. ceramic industry. We have announced a price increase to recover freight and are taking other actions to improve our mix and margins. We are expanding our larger size tiles, increasing our technical porcelain collections and growing our porcelain slab products. We are introducing commercial LVT into Dal-Tile's offering, and we are testing a number of new innovations that could be significant, including a patented technology to reduce the time and cost of ceramic installation and a patented porcelain roof tile system. During the period, our North American countertop sales increased 15%, with quartz growing substantially more. Our quartz countertop manufacturing in Tennessee is preparing to start up in the fourth quarter. Tariffs and duties on quartz countertops from China have increased to 44%, and we have found alternative suppliers in other countries. Even with the Mexican ceramic market declining this year, our sales have increased as we expanded our distribution and introduced innovative products. Margins in our European ceramic business have been under pressure due to lower industry demand and pricing as well as increased inflation. To manage this, we have introduced more differentiated collections and expanded our commercial offering to improve our mix. In our Russian ceramic business, sales and volume improved but were partially offset by higher inflation. In the period, our growth in Russia was limited by our capacity, which we are increasing. "On October 15, we executed an agreement to purchase Eliane, one of the largest ceramic tile companies in Brazil, for approximately $250 million. Brazil is the world's third largest ceramic tile market, where Eliane is a leader in premium porcelain with annual sales of approximately $215 million. We anticipate the acquisition closing in the fourth quarter. "During the quarter, our Flooring North America Segment's sales increased 2%. The segment's operating margin was 9% as reported and 10% on an adjusted basis, impacted by inflation, lower than expected production and start-up costs. Sales and volume did not improve as we had anticipated, and mix declined from growth in polyester carpets, customers trading down, and higher sales in lower value channels. Our price increases have taken longer to realize and were lower than we expected in the quarter. We are seeing a greater impact from our price increases as we enter the fourth quarter. In the quarter, production on our new LVT line was lower than anticipated, but recent improvements have increased output more than 30%. We have announced additional carpet price increases for the end of the fourth quarter to offset further material increases from rising oil and chemical prices. Our new home construction and multi-family channels had the strongest performance during the period, and LVT continued to capture a greater share of the flooring market. We anticipate continued growth in LVT as our product offering expands with both greater local production and sourced products. We have successfully produced rigid LVT, which we will begin introducing into the market. Our commercial sales improved as we progressed through the quarter, with hard surface sales growth significantly outpacing carpet. We are consolidating multiple warehouses and closing two higher cost manufacturing operations to improve our efficiencies. "For the quarter, our Flooring Rest of the World Segment's sales increased 17% as reported and 19% on a constant currency basis. The segment's operating margin was 14% as reported and 16% on an adjusted basis, as a result of improved price, product mix and productivity, offsetting inflation and start-up costs. Our segment sales rose substantially with the recent acquisition of Godfrey Hirst, while the segment's legacy growth was 4.6%, slowing from the second quarter's very strong results. During the period, LVT led the segment's growth, along with insulation and wood panels. Our new LVT production was constrained as we started up our new line. Engineering solutions have been implemented on the new line, and daily output has risen about 30%. We are producing additional rigid LVT collections to broaden our offering and enhance our market position. In laminate, our patented water proof technology combined with our unique surface textures are enhancing our mix. With our new Belgian and Russian production lines, we are expanding the offering of these premium laminate products. Our new Russian sheet vinyl plant will start up by the end of the year and provide more product to sell in Europe. We announced price increases of 4% to 7% on sheet vinyl for next year to cover inflation. Our wood panels business continues to show strong results driven by price increases and improved mix. In our insulation business, demand for products is increasing as material costs fall back to more normal levels. "We anticipate fourth quarter results continuing the soft trends we experienced in the third period. We expect sales to be slightly slower than the prior quarter in most markets and product categories. Even with price increases across the company, we will not offset inflation and our results will remain under pressure. Our margins are being impacted by more competitive environments, declining product mix, and lower manufacturing rates. We are introducing new products and executing cost reductions to improve our performance. We are expanding our internal transportation and optimizing our distribution strategy in the U.S. The Godfrey Hirst acquisition will benefit our results as we integrate our Australian and New Zealand businesses. Taking all of this into account, our EPS guidance for the fourth quarter is $2.45 to $2.60, excluding any one-time charges. Based on this estimate, our EBITDA for 2018 will be approximately $1.7 billion. In the first quarter of 2019, we expect some improvement from the fourth quarter, with operating income of $225 million to $250 million. "Presently, softening market conditions, significant inflation and declining product mix are hurting our results.  LVT is an opportunity to expand while also impacting the volume, mix and pricing of our other products in the U.S.  We are reacting to a stronger dollar which has compressed our margins. Going forward, our results should improve as we align pricing and enhance our product offering. Our new investments are on track with construction, start-up and the acquisition of customers and will provide proper returns when optimized.  We will continue acquiring premier companies like Eliane to expand our offering and geographic presence. Mohawk is the largest flooring company in the world with low cost positions in all of our products. Mohawk's organizational depth, innovative products and strong balance sheet provide competitive advantages to create long-term value for our shareholders." Stock repurchase authorizationMohawk's board of directors has approved a share repurchase program pursuant to which the company may repurchase up to $500 million of its common stock.  Our new share repurchase program demonstrates the board and management's confidence in Mohawk's operating model and potential for cash flow generation. This new program provides us with another lever in our balanced approach to create value for our shareholders.  Purchases will be made in accordance with all applicable securities laws and regulations and will be funded from available liquidity including available cash or borrowings under existing or future credit facilities. The share repurchase program does not obligate the company to acquire any particular amount of common stock, and it may be suspended or terminated at any time at the company's discretion. The timing and amount of any purchases of common stock will be based on our liquidity, general business and market conditions and other factors, including alternative investment opportunities.   ABOUT MOHAWK INDUSTRIESMohawk Industries is the leading global flooring manufacturer that creates products to enhance residential and commercial spaces around the world. Mohawk's vertically integrated manufacturing and distribution processes provide competitive advantages in the production of carpet, rugs, ceramic tile, laminate, wood, stone and vinyl flooring. Our industry-leading innovation has yielded products and technologies that differentiate our brands in the marketplace and satisfy all remodeling and new construction requirements. Our brands are among the most recognized in the industry and include American Olean, Daltile, Durkan, Feltex, Godfrey Hirst, IVC, Karastan, Marazzi, Mohawk, Mohawk Group, Pergo, Quick-Step and Unilin. During the past decade, Mohawk has transformed its business from an American carpet manufacturer into the world's largest flooring company with operations in Australia, Brazil, Canada, Europe, India, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Russia and the United States. Certain of the statements in the immediately preceding paragraphs, particularly anticipating future performance, business prospects, growth and operating strategies and similar matters and those that include the words "could," "should," "believes," "anticipates," "expects," and "estimates," or similar expressions constitute "forward-looking statements." For those statements, Mohawk claims the protection of the safe harbor for forward-looking statements contained in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.  There can be no assurance that the forward-looking statements will be accurate because they are based on many assumptions, which involve risks and uncertainties. The following important factors could cause future results to differ: changes in economic or industry conditions; competition; inflation and deflation in raw material prices and other input costs; inflation and deflation in consumer markets; energy costs and supply; timing and level of capital expenditures; timing and implementation of price increases for the Company's products; impairment charges; integration of acquisitions; international operations; introduction of new products; rationalization of operations; taxes and tax reform, product and other claims; litigation; and other risks identified in Mohawk's SEC reports and public announcements.           Conference call Friday, October 26, 2018, at 11:00 AM Eastern TimeThe telephone number is 1-800-603-9255 for US/Canada and 1-706-634-2294 for International/Local. Conference ID # 4365317. A replay will be available until November 26, 2018, by dialing 1-855-859-2056 for US/local calls and 1-404-537-3406 for International/Local calls and entering Conference ID # 4365317.